{"id":28708,"date":"2023-07-20T02:36:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T02:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/reits-are-on-the-nose-but-some-sectors-are-still-making-healthy-progress\/"},"modified":"2025-06-26T03:02:55","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T03:02:55","slug":"reits-are-on-the-nose-but-some-sectors-are-still-making-healthy-progress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/zh-hant\/in-the-media-zh-hant\/reits-are-on-the-nose-but-some-sectors-are-still-making-healthy-progress\/","title":{"rendered":"REITs are on the nose \u2013 but some sectors are still making healthy progress"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The office property crisis has put the REIT (real estate investment trust) sector in a difficult spot as investors become increasingly spooked by the global downturn in commercial property values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the US, office property values have plunged by over 35 per cent from their pre-pandemic peak, the worst decline since the global crisis of 2008\/2009, as the market adjusts to&nbsp;higher interest rates and the new world of remote working.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But while office valuations have slumped, some analysts are quick to point out that the REIT sector isn\u2019t just about office blocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are other funds out there such as ASX-listed&nbsp;<strong>RAM Essential Services Property Fund (<a href=\"https:\/\/stockhead.com.au\/company\/ram-essential-services-property-fund-rep\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ASX:REP<\/a>)<\/strong>, which invest in the growing sector of healthcare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe don\u2019t want to be tarnished with the same brush ,\u201d said Matthew Strotton, the<a href=\"https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/about-us\/meet-the-team\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;head of real estate at RAM<\/a>, the company that runs the REIT.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Strotton believes the healthcare property sector can withstand economic scenarios far more ably than office real estate, but says the market hasn\u2019t caught up to this fact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe market is interpreting the health of the real estate index by what they\u2019re reading about the office sector, and if I\u2019d read that, I would indeed be reading about pure disruption,\u201d he told&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.stockhead.com.au\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Stockhead<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to Strotton, the healthcare market has far more tailwinds \u2013 the No.1 factor being our ageing demographic and unprecedented government funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe have a strong population growth, and like most developed countries around the world, we have an ageing population.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere is an underlying state, local and federal support to ensure healthcare services are maintained at all levels of our community.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe could arguably say that across the country, there is continued burden on our healthcare system, which leads to the conclusion that we are under supplied.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading heading-bookmark\"><strong>Where the REP REIT invests<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The REP fund owns 35 assets split roughly 50\/50 between healthcare and convenience malls\/supermarkets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Healthcare assets include hospitals, physiotherapists, dentists, pharmacies, GP clinics and private surgeries \u2013 with tenants such as St John of God Clinic, Life Fertility, and private hospital operator, Healthe Care.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Retail tenants meanwhile include names such as Woolworths, Coles and Wesfarmers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Like healthcare, Strotton says the food retailing category produces consistently, and is one he believes could withstand economic shocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe have 301 tenants across our portfolio and only less than a handful are under any sort of duress. No one\u2019s locking doors, no one\u2019s closing up shops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOf our eight supermarkets, seven of them are significantly above state and national averages in terms of turnover,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In healthcare, RAM expects to add up to $1 billion in assets over the next 12 months as the fund aims to bolster its exposure to the sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It has recently acquired a private hospital on the Sunshine Coast and a medical centre in Perth as part of its redevelopment investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThese are distinct from the type of assets that the REP fund currently has, these are higher risk redevelopment assets,\u201d said Strotton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAlthough we don\u2019t really set a longer-term objective on our asset split, I would say tactically that a tilt towards healthcare is most certainly on the cards.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading heading-bookmark\"><strong>Is the REP fund undervalued?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">RAM believes the market is mis-pricing its REP fund, which it says could be trading at a steep 30 per cent discount to the value of underlying assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This, Stratton says, appears to be caused by an unjustified disconnect between listed and unlisted healthcare asset values.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He explained that the total valuation of the fund\u2019s underlying assets \u2013 as undertaken by third party appraisals at arm\u2019s length \u2013 currently stands at around $800 million, or $1.02 per share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition to that, there are three impartial analysts that review the portfolio regularly \u2013 BNP, Credit Suisse and UBS \u2013 and the average target price they\u2019ve put on the share price is 96 cents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cBut we\u2019re currently trading at only 70 cents a share, so on my calculation we\u2019re about 30 per cent undervalued, give or take,\u201d Stratton said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stratton added that listed real estate markets tended to be priced top down, and as we\u2019ve seen on cycles prior to this, investors often overshoot the mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s human behaviour, so the only way to really prove underlying real estate valuations is to actually transact real estate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf we can transact our assets at or above our book value, that\u2019s one way we can prove to our investors that our unit price is undervalued,\u201d Ward said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reit-fund-2023-1.jpg\" alt=\"REIT Fund 2023\" class=\"wp-image-36181\" style=\"object-fit:cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reit-fund-2023-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reit-fund-2023-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ramgroup.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reit-fund-2023-1-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stratton says he\u2019s currently talking to prospective buyers on up to nine assets ranging from $8 million to $80 million across healthcare and retail in order to initiate these transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In terms of the macro picture, he believes that in order for the commercial property market to rebound, people must firstly have visibility around interest rates and, ironically, a weaker economic outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf we encountered a severe downturn or a recession, the two sectors in real estate that would withstand those scenarios better than any of the others would be healthcare, and the supermarkets and essential services,\u201d said Stratton.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The office property crisis has put the REIT (real estat [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":26477,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"post-type":[],"class_list":["post-28708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-in-the-media-zh-hant"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - 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